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29th Pacific Petroleum Insiders (PPI) 2019


In-depth Analysis and Insights for the Downstream Oil Market

Crude oil and products markets are being roiled by an array of forces—ranging from volatile geopolitics and fluctuating oil prices, to the impact of US exports and impending restrictions on sulfur in marine bunkers. Long-standing industry players are confronting new entrants, while seeing new business opportunities.

The Asia Pacific remains as the critical driver of global growth, but it increasingly interacts with far-away regions. It is crucial to understand the forces behind these interactions, and how they will change over time.

Aside from market forces in the ever-changing world, it is vital to have insights on opaque government policies and shifting corporate priorities. FGE is uniquely qualified to shine a light on these key issues.

 


Agenda

  • Day 1: AM Sessions
    Agenda September 5, A.M

    Session 1: Key Issues Confronting the Global Oil & Gas Markets

    • Dr. Fesharaki shares his views on the key issues confronting the global oil and gas business.

     

    Session 2: Oil Market Outlook

    • Hot Topics: What is the potential impact of US sanctions on Iran’s oil exports? How low could Venezuela’s output go? What could happen next in Libya? How will other producers respond? What potential shocks are lurking around the corner?
    • Global Oil Supply—Knowns & Unknowns: Will recent higher prices stimulate US oil output even more? What could this mean for US crude exports? What is the outlook in other key non-OPEC producers?
    • Global Oil Demand—Disruptive Forces: How much could higher prices dent oil demand growth? What is the potential impact of IMO 2020 on demand? When could there be “peak” demand?
    • Price Parameters: In the current increasingly-uncertain world, what is the potential range for oil prices? What is the most likely price path?

     

    Session 3: Roundtable on Critical Factors Driving the Oil Market

    • US tight oil, IMO 2020, electric vehicles, refining-petchem projects: How could these factors affect the oil market outlook? Are there any other wildcards?
  • Day 1: PM Sessions
    Agenda September 5, P.M

    Session 4: Asian Downstream

    • Which countries and which products will lead demand growth? Any surprises ahead?
    • How is demand growth reacting to higher prices? Is electrification gaining ground?
    • Who is building/expanding refineries and why? What is real and what is not? Have priorities shifted?
    • What are the most interesting developments/opportunities?
    • What are refiners’ strategies to deal with the IMO shift?
    • Regional movers and shakers to watch—highlights of key developments across various countries.

     

    Session 5: China: Uncertainties Continue

    • Outlook for oil products demand: Why has demand growth slowed? Will it recover? What is the threat from EVs?
    • Will the independents continue to shake the refining landscape? Has the government created a level playing field? Further surprises ahead?
    • Domestic refining surplus to reshape the future roadmap? What can we expect for product exports? What are the constraints?
    • Outlook for SPRs and overseas investments?
    • Where will China source its crude?
  • Day 2: AM Sessions
    Agenda September 6, A.M

     Session 6: India: Dust Settles After a Convoluted 2017

    • India’s oil demand growth: Starts and pauses—What to expect? Policies continue to shape oil demand path.
    • Refining sector: Expansions and upgrades underway. When will state refiners build new refineries? Will private players expand in a big way? Petchem integrations see a slow start.
    • Will rising demand keep a lid on future product exports?

    Session 7: Japan: Consolidation Continues

    • Japan’s shifting demand outlook.
    • METI’s objective for the Phase III Refining Ordinance.
    • Impact of industry consolidation?
    • Will Japan turn to product exports?

     

    Session 8 : West of Suez Developments: Implications for Asia

    • How much longer will the US refining boom last?
    • Is there light at the end of the tunnel for Venezuela, Mexico, and Brazil refiners? (And what about the rest?)
    • Who are the game changers (if any) in the Atlantic Basin?
    • What is the future for Russian export barrels?
    • How can Asia muscle in on West of Suez markets?
    • How will ME refiners be impacted by changes in the Atlantic Basin?
  • Day 2: PM Sessions
    Agenda September 6, P.M

    Session 9: Middle East: Downstream Sector Facing Major Uncertainties

    • What are the prospects for Iraq upstream? Crude output, existing KRG PSCs, northern Iraq production and exports.
    • Outlook for Middle East oil demand: are subsidy policy changes shifting trends?
    • Latest situation in Iran, with focus on the impact of US sanctions.
    • How are the region’s product balances expected to evolve its product trade outlook? Will there be a change in markets?
    • Who is building what ME refining capacity and why?
    • Middle East refining expansions and growing products exports: Heading east or west?
    • Following the recent trend of integrated refinery (and petrochemicals), will COTC be the next wave?

     

    Session 10: Outlook for LPG and Condensate

    • How are US exports impacting the East of Suez LPG market?
    • Can demand growth propel LPG prices upwards?
    • New splitters vs. Iranian and US condensate supplies—which will drive the market?

     

    Session 11: Challenges and Opportunities

    • Where are the opportunities and who are the potential winners/losers?
    • What are the key sensitivities and foreseeable surprises?

Meet our Speakers

Ff Website
Dr. Fereidun Fesharaki
Chairman, FGE

Dr. Fereidun Fesharaki is the Founder and Chairman of FGE. FGE is a leading consulting group focusing on the oil and gas markets East of the Suez, Europe, and the United States, with offices in London, Singapore, Tokyo, Dubai, Honolulu, Los Angeles, Beijing,  and Houston. 


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Jeff Brown Website
Dr. Jeff Brown
President, FGE

Dr. Jeff Brown, as President, leads FGE’s oil and gas consulting teams.  He is based at our Asian headquarters in Singapore, working closely with FGE consultants in Europe, the Middle East, and North America.


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Michael Barry Website
Mr. Michael Barry
Director of Research, FGE London

Michael Barry has over 30 years' experience in oil/energy consultancy. He graduated in Economics from Cambridge University in 1978 and was employed as an economic report writer for Lloyds Bank, before spending 10 years at Petroleum Economics Ltd (PEL) where he was responsible for short-term oil and energy market analysis.


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Iman Website
Dr. Iman Nasseri
Managing Director - Middle East, FGE London

Dr. Iman Nasseri, as MD of Middle East, is in charge of FGE’s analysis and coverage of the Middle East. He covers both oil and gas, but is primarily focused on downstream oil. On the oil side, in addition to overseeing Middle East oil research, he works closely with the refining team and is involved with FGE’s Annual World Refining Outlook. On the gas side, Iman is mainly involved in adhoc/ commercial LNG projects.


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FAQs

  • How do I register for this event?

    You can register for this event in one of two ways:

     

  • Are FGE clients entitled to a discount on registration fees?

    Yes, FGE clients are entitled to a discount on registration fees. Further details of such discounts can be found in the 'Registration Fees' section or the brochure.

  • Are members of the press/media allowed to attend?

    Unfortunately, members of the press/media are not allowed to attend FGE briefings. If there is anything specific you would like to discuss with FGE, including insights on market developments, please contact [email protected].

  • Will I receive a copy of the presentation files? If so, when?

    All attendees will have access to electronic copies (PDF) of the presentation materials. Details of how to access the materials will be provided to attendees upon registration on day 1. We advise attendees to take a tablet or laptop with them to our briefings, so they can access the materials there and then.

Event Details


  Where & When

Mandarin Orchard Singapore
333 Orchard Road
Singapore 238867


 +65 6737 4411

 www.meritushotels.com/en/mandarin-orchard-singapore


Date: September, 5-6, 2019

  Registration Fees

FGE Clients:

Full Fee - $3,395
Early Bird Fee - $2,995*
Team Fee - $3,195**

Non-Clients:

Full Fee - $3,995
Early Bird Fee - $3,595*
Team Fee - $3,795**

 

FGE clients, please use discount code PPI19CE when registering online.

*Early Bird discounts available until July 25, 2019. 
**Team Fee available after July 26, 2019.

 

Fees are in USD. All discounts are mutually exclusive and at the discretion of the organizers.

 


Register Online >
  Organiser Details

This event is organised by:

Conference Connection Pte Ltd
135 Middle Road,
#05-01 Bylands Building,
Singapore 188975


 +65 6338 0064

 www.cconnection.org

Further Information

If you require additional information on this or any FGE service, including requesting a trial, or you would like to discuss ways in which FGE can assist you further, please contact a member of our sales team:


Mr. Robert Beckmann - Singapore

Head of Business Development
Tel: +65 6222 0045

Email Robert

Mr. Edo Ndeke - London

Business Development Manager
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7726 9570

Email Edo

Mr. Farhan Sulaiman - Singapore

Business Development Manager
Tel: +65 6222 0045

Email Farhan

Mr. Lance Ruxton - London

Business Development Manager
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7726 9570

Email Lance

Mr. TJ Braziel - Houston, TX

Business Development Manager
Tel: +1 (281) 819 1983

Email TJ