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25th Middle East Petroleum Insiders (MPI) 2018


FGE Client and Team Discounts Available

 

A strategic vision of the Middle East/Gulf’s upstream and downstream oil markets.

The dramatic fall in oil prices created a new set of dynamics in the global oil market, generating a range of fundamental questions for developments in the Middle East and beyond. Reduced revenue is clearly impacting economies of the region, but how will regional demand be affected, or the investment plans for new local refineries? How will the Middle East’s crude and products export markets fare in this environment? Will China’s inventory build and upsurge in China’s products exports continue? What is the likely impact of the recent improvement in prices on oil production outside the Middle East? Can this higher price level be sustained?

These issues will all be addressed at the 25th Middle East Petroleum Insiders Briefing which provides a unique, authoritative, and up-to-date perspective on the regional and global implications of the new low oil price world.

Last year’s event focused on the anticipated persistent low level of oil prices; this year, we will be assessing whether key producers’ attempts to push up prices will stick. Both the up and downstream will be covered, covering detailed regional perspectives on production, oil demand, refining capacity and utilization, with the implications for the Middle East’s role in the rapidly-changing landscape of international products trade.

 

MPI will be taking place during the Middle East Petroleum and Gas Conference 2018 week of events. FGE's 12th Middle East Gas Insiders (MGI) Briefing will be taking place on April 25-26, 2018.

Agenda

  • Day 1: AM Sessions
    Agenda April 21, A.M

    Session 1: Key Issues Confronting the Global Oil & Gas Markets

    • Dr. Fesharaki shares his views on the key issues confronting the global oil and gas business.

     

    Session 2: Oil Market Outlook

    • Will the current attempts to support/raise oil prices be successful? When could there be sustained price recovery?
    • Supply-side impact: For how long will the current output cuts be needed? How quickly could non-OPEC supply respond to higher oil prices?
    • Demand-side impact: Will the previous demand stimulus from low prices now be constrained? Is there sustained demand strength?
    • Who are the main winners and losers if prices recover further?
    • Is there a supply shock down the road due to recent low prices, or will there be a persistent oil market surplus?

     

  • Day 1: PM Sessions
    Agenda April 21, P.M

    Session 3: The Future of Road Transport and How It Will Change the Outlook for Oil Demand

    • What are the trends that will shape the future of road transport demand for gasoline and diesel?
    • What are the drivers of transport fuel demand and how do they differ between countries?
    • How will new mobility solutions like UBER affect oil demand?
    • What are the factors driving electric cars and how will they evolve?
    • Adoption of electric cars—where and when?
    • What is the potential for electric and other alternatives in the truck segment?

     

    Session 4: Deep Dive on Asia: Major Changes and Challenges Ahead

    • Asian demand outlook: Where will demand surge and where will it lag? Which products are most promising? What are the key uncertainties to watch?
    • Refinery capacity: Additions and closures—Who is adding and why? What is real and what is not?
    • Products balances: Balances of light products set to become tighter? IMO mandate to alleviate gasoil surplus?
    • What are potential pressure points to watch?

     

    China Brief

    • Will the independents continue to shake the refining landscape?
    • What can we expect for product exports? What are the constraints?
    • Outlook for oil products demand: Will gasoline and LPG continue to charge forward? What is the threat from EVs?
    • How much crude will China import and where might it be stored?
    • Where will China source its crude?

     

    Japan Brief

    • Lower oil prices did little to arrest demand decline.
    • Update on METI Ordinances.
    • Impact of industry consolidation?
    • Japan to turn to product exports?

     

    India Brief

    • India’s oil demand setting on a strong and steady growth path?
    • Refining sector: Expansions and upgrades underway. Are state refiners considering building new refineries?
    • Will rising demand keep a lid on future product exports?

     

    Other Major Players

    • Korea: Maintaining high runs?
    • Indonesia, Thailand, and Malaysia: Shifting priorities?
    • Australia and Vietnam: Changing crude and product imports.
  • Day 2: AM Sessions
    Agenda April 22, A.M

    Session 5: West of Suez Refining & Products Trade: Implications for East of Suez Markets

    • Have US refining dynamics changed again?
    • Latin America & Africa: Will the slowdown in refining capacity additions open …new trading opportunities from other regions?
    • What is the latest outlook for Russian products exports?
    • Changing patterns of Atlantic Basin products trade: Is European refining still under siege?
    • The potential implications of IMO 2020, huge controversy.

     

    Session 6: Middle East

    • What are the prospects for Iraq/KRG post-referendum: Crude output, existing KRG PSCs, northern Iraq production and exports?
    • Outlook for Middle East oil demand: Are subsidy policy changes shifting trends?
    • Who is building what refining capacity and why?
    • Middle East refining expansions and growing products exports: Heading east or west?
    • Following recent trend of integrated refinery (and petrochemical), will COTC be the next wave?

     

    Session 7: Special Focus on Iran

    • Assuming there will be an end to the current OPEC output cap, when are we likely to expect an increase in production, and by how much?
    • Crude exports: Where is Iran targeting and what’s the next frontier?
    • Gasoline: Will Iran eventually become a net exporter?
    • Fuel oil: Where will the surplus go?
    • Siraf condensate splitting project: Is it really happening?
  • Day 2: PM Sessions
    Agenda April 22, P.M

    Session 8: The Outlook for LPG and Condensate

    • How are US exports impacting the East of Suez LPG market?
    • Can demand growth propel LPG price upwards?
    • New splitters vs. Iranian and US condensate supplies—Which will drive the market?

     

    Session 9: Conclusions: Challenges and Opportunities

    • How are changing prices and strategies impacting different industry players?
    • Where are the opportunities?
    • What are the key sensitivities and potential alternative scenarios?

Meet our Speakers

Ff Website
Dr. Fereidun Fesharaki
Chairman, FGE

Dr. Fereidun Fesharaki is the Founder and Chairman of FGE. FGE is a leading consulting group focusing on the oil and gas markets East of the Suez, Europe, and the United States, with offices in London, Singapore, Tokyo, Beijing, Tehran, Dubai, Honolulu, California, and Mumbai. 


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Jeff Brown Website
Dr. Jeff Brown
President, FGE

Dr. Jeff Brown, as President, leads FGE’s oil and gas consulting teams. He is based at our Asian headquarters in Singapore, working closely with FGE consultants in Europe, the Middle East, and North America.


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Michael Barry Website
Mr. Michael Barry
Research Director, FGE London

Michael Barry has over 30 years of experience in oil/energy consultancy. He graduated with an M.A. in Economics from Cambridge University in 1978 and was employed as an economic report writer for Lloyds Bank, before spending 10 years at Petroleum Economics Ltd (PEL) where he was responsible for short-term oil and energy market analysis.


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Iman Website
Dr. Iman Nasseri
Acting Managing Director - Middle East, FGE London

Dr. Iman Nasseri, Acting Managing Director – Middle East, is based in London and specializes in both oil and gas aspects of the business. Before joining FGE London in 2014 as full time consultant, Iman was associated with FGE Hawaii for four years as part-time consultant. At FGE, he works closely with the Middle East gas and NGL teams, with his primary focus being NGLs, downstream oil, and natural gas/LNG.


 

Cuneyt Website
Mr. Cuneyt Kazokoglu
Head of Oil Demand Forecasting and Long-Term Service, FGE London

Cuneyt is responsible for overseeing all the company’s oil demand forecasts, both short and long term, which underpins the Group’s retainer services and ad-hoc projects. In this role, he is called upon to make presentations to clients outlining potential market and industry developments and discuss the strategic implications, under scenario and brainstorming exercises.  


 


FAQs

  • How do I register for this event?

    You can register for this event in one of two ways:

      1. Complete the registration form on the back of the brochure and email it to [email protected]
      2. Complete the online registration form

     

  • Are FGE clients entitled to a discount on registration fees?

    Yes, FGE clients are entitled to a discount on registration fees. Further details of such discounts can be found in the 'Registration Fees' section or the brochure.

  • Are members of the press/media allowed to attend?

    Unfortunately, members of the press/media are not allowed to attend FGE briefings. If there is anything specific you would like to discuss with FGE, including insights on market developments, please contact [email protected].

  • Will I receive a copy of the presentation files? If so, when?

    All attendees will have access to electronic copies (PDF) of the presentation materials. Details of how to access the materials will be provided to attendees one/two days before the event takes place. We advise attendees to take a tablet or laptop with them to our briefings, so they can access the materials there and then.

Event Details


  Where & When

Jumeirah at Etihad Towers,
West Corniche,
P.O. Box 111929,
Abu Dhabi, UAE


 +971 2 811 5555

 www.jumeirah.com


Date: April 21-22, 2018

  Registration Fees

FGE Clients: (use promo code fgempi162 when registering online)

Full Fee - $3,300
Early Bird Fee - $2,900*
Team Fee - $2,950**

Non-Clients:

Full Fee - $3,900
Early Bird Fee - $3,200*
Team Fee - $3,300** 

MPI Joint Attendance with MPGC:

Non-FGE Clients - $3,600***

 

*Early Bird payments by February 28, 2018 
**Team Discounts available for second & subsequent delegate from the same company with the same billing address after 5th March 2017.
*** Only for non-FGE Clients

Fees are in USD.


Register Online >
  Organiser Details

This event is organised by:

The Conference Connection Inc.
P.O. Box 1736, Raffles City
Singapore 911758


 +65 6338 0064

 www.cconnection.org

Further Information

If you require additional information on this or any FGE service, including requesting a trial, or you would like to discuss ways in which FGE can assist you further, please contact a member of our sales team:


Mr. Robert Beckmann - London

Head of Business Development
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7726 9570

Email Robert

Mr. Edo Ndeke - London

Business Development Manager
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7726 9570

Email Edo

Mr. Farhan Sulaiman - Singapore

Business Development Manager
Tel: +65 6222 0045

Email Farhan

Ms. Iren Naseri - Dubai, UAE

Business Development Manager
Tel: +971 4 457 4270

Email Iren

Mr. TJ Braziel - Houston, TX

Business Development Manager
Tel: +1 (281) 819 1983

Email TJ